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DAVOS – Consequential Africa: Making Development Investable in a Fragmenting Global Economy

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London / Johannesburg — launched for Davos 2026

Global institutional portfolios now exceed $300 trillion, yet they face a growing scarcity of assets capable of absorbing capital at scale while delivering duration, diversification, real-economy growth, and resilient returns. Consequential Africa argues that this is no longer a peripheral problem of emerging markets — it is a structural constraint on global portfolio construction.

Africa sits at the centre of that constraint — not as a recipient of capital, but as a structural solution to it.

The continent’s economic and geostrategic endowments — critical minerals, renewable energy basins, nature assets, food systems, trade corridors, and demography — position Africa as a core pillar of the $10-trillion-plus and rapidly expanding global green industrial economy, rather than a marginal market competing for attention.

As the world’s last major industrial and infrastructure build-out zone, Africa requires an estimated $200–250 billion per year in investment but currently attracts less than $80 billion, according to G20 and multilateral development bank data. Consequential Africa shows that this gap is not driven by a lack of opportunity, but by the historic absence of investable systems — producing a persistent 300–700 basis-point capital premium and an estimated $4–6 trillion loss in diversification, duration, and growth opportunity for global portfolios over the past two decades.

The blueprint set out in Consequential Africa is that this mispricing is now structurally reversible.

Through the GreenAlpha framework, African green industrial development is organised into institutional-grade asset platforms built around corridor systems and Institutional Investor–Public Partnerships (IIPPs) anchored by African pension funds and sovereign wealth capital alongside aligned global asset owners. These structures aggregate demand, standardise governance, embed investor protections, and enable repeatable, at-scale issuance — allowing development to be held, priced, benchmarked, and allocated like the asset classes global investors already own.

“Africa’s economic and geostrategic endowments make it a structural pillar of the global green industrial economy — not a peripheral market. Through GreenAlpha and IIPPs, development can now be structured to look, behave, and perform like investable asset classes — with scale, governance, and repeatability. As global portfolios confront tightening duration and concentration constraints, Africa shifts from a marginal exposure to a structural allocation consequence.” said Dr Hubert Danso, Chairman and CEO of Africa Investor Group

For global asset owners and investment consultants, Consequential Africa reframes Africa from a special-case or thematic exposure into a long-duration allocation necessity as traditional markets struggle to provide sufficient scale, yield, and real-economy growth.

For African governments and domestic asset owners, the implication is equally clear: the fastest route to economic and portfolio consequentiality lies not in continent-wide consensus, but in first-mover execution — anchoring the initial corridor and IIPP platforms that convert development into investable, risk-adjusted systems. Once established, replication follows fiduciary logic rather than political negotiation, as track record replaces uncertainty.

Consequential Africa is essential reading for asset owners, investment consultants, and sovereign leaders convening at Davos 2026, the African Union Summit, the SMI Terra Carta Exhibition, the G7, and the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM). It positions Africa not as a beneficiary of global capital, but as a partner and structural solution to the world’s capital-allocation and long-term industrial growth challenge.

Read the Consequential Africa report

Ai Presses EU to Cut Capital Costs and Mobilise European Institutional Co-Investors for GreenAlpha Asset Class

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Luanda, Angola — 25 November

Africa Investor (Ai) played a central leadership role at the AU–EU Heads of State Business Summit in Luanda, advancing Africa’s institutional-investor-led green-industrial agenda on behalf of the continent’s pension, insurance and sovereign investment community, and championing the African Union’s 5% Asset Allocation Agenda, GreenAlpha, and the African Green Infrastructure Investment Bank (AfGIIB) as the Institutional Investor–Public Partnership (IIPP) platforms forming African investors’ priorities and the backbone of Africa–EU green-industrial investment cooperation.

Ai’s Chairman and CEO, Dr Hubert Danso, participated in high-level sessions on Energy Investments, Critical Minerals, and the EU–Africa Investment Dialogue, where he championed the GreenAlpha Strategic Investment Partnerships — the IIPP-driven, asset-class architecture designed to mobilise institutional capital at industrial scale behind the Nairobi Declaration, Africa’s continental green-industrial investment deal.

Throughout the Summit, Dr Danso engaged senior African and European policymakers, DFIs, corporates and institutional asset owners, emphasising African asset owners’ leadership in building the investment frameworks, platforms and IIPP structures that align domestic and global institutional investors and African governments behind a shared green-industrial transformation.

Cost of Capital Reform as a Strategic EU–Africa Priority
Dr Danso called for a decisive reset in EU–Africa capital flows, urging EU leaders to mandate the EBRD and EIB to provide leadership within the GEMS Consortium to implement the G20 GEMs2.0 Directive to democratise sovereign-risk data for investors and rating agencies, and collaborate with investor-led GEMs3.0 sandbox programmes — a cost-of-capital reform agenda championed under South Africa’s G20 Presidency.

He highlighted that the absence of transparent, standardised EMDE risk-data is:
costing African and emerging economies $15.6bn annually in excess interest and foregone investment; and

  • eroding $4–6tn in long-term returns for European and global pension funds, insurers, sovereign wealth funds and asset managers.
  • Reinforcing Ai’s long-standing institutional investment scale-and-speed mobilisation imperative, Dr Danso stated:

“We must stop trying to make investment developmental — and start making development investable. A competitive global green economy requires a resilient EU–Africa industrial investment engine,” Dr Danso added, calling for coordinated co-investment policy and regulatory incentives to crowd in European institutional capital at scale.

He further noted that the EU’s Global Gateway, when aligned with GreenAlpha’s IIPP architecture, can serve as a strategic co-investment and mandate-aligned investment engine — accelerating European institutional mobilisation, lowering the cost of capital, and expanding Africa–EU participation in the fast-growing global green-industrial economy.

Mobilising Europe’s €30 Trillion AUM for a Shared Green-Industrial Future
Dr Danso emphasised that aligning EU institutional capital with GreenAlpha IIPP platforms delivers major shared gains:

  • lower energy costs for Europe,
  • secure access to critical minerals,
  • expanded green-technology manufacturing,
  • enhanced supply-chain resilience,
  • accelerated job creation across both continents,
  • improved industry competitiveness,
  • and stronger long-term portfolio returns through reduced risk premia and an expanded universe of investable, risk-adjusted green-industrial opportunities.

He stressed that EU universal owners and EU industrial offtakers stand to benefit directly from Africa’s growing participation in the $10 trillion-a-year global green-industrial economy, including competitively priced African-manufactured hydrogen, battery-precursor materials, e-fuels, and critical-mineral-based technologies.

Advancing GreenAlpha, Green-Industrial Cities (GICs) and Corridors
Ai underscored that GreenAlpha has established African green-industrial infrastructure as a globally competitive, investable asset class — providing Basel-aligned, consultant-validated, long-duration IIPP portfolio architecture suitable for pensions, insurers and sovereign funds.

GreenAlpha establishes for Africa what Canada and Australia built for their own economies — a dedicated, institutional-grade infrastructure asset class capable of mobilising long-duration global capital at scale.

GreenAlpha’s Green-Industrial Cities and corridor opportunities span:

  • renewables,
  • grids & transmission,
  • data infrastructure,
  • critical-minerals processing,
  • sustainable fuels,
  • logistics & industrial corridors,
  • green-technology manufacturing

At the Summit, Dr Danso advanced EU participation in priority GIC corridors, engaging EU delegations, DFIs, the African Union, and multinational CEOs on structured IIPP partnership opportunities.

A Unified Institutional Investor–Sovereign IIPP Agenda
Africa Investor reaffirmed its commitment to a unified Institutional Investor–Public Partnership (IIPP) model in which global asset owners, African governments, DFIs and industry partners co-create the enabling policies, governance systems, long-duration bankable offtakes and institutional platforms required to mobilise private capital at scale and accelerate Africa’s green-industrial transformation.

World Leaders explore Cultural IP as Engine IP of Economic Development across African Nations at G20

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Initiative could unlock billions annually for creators and nations from the continent’s creative sectors

JOHANNESBURG– November 24, 2025  – A new G20 roadmap urges that Cultural Intellectual Property (IP)— from creative works such as music and art to digital cultural data—be formally recognized and integrated into macroeconomic and financial frameworks. This roadmap from the African Union Development Agency (AUDA-NEPAD), AXM, and the Africa Investor (Ai) Group positions Africa’s creative industries as a key driver of inclusive economic growth.

  • Cultural intellectual property contributes an estimated US$2.3 trillion to global GDP annually and supports 30 million jobs, according to UNESCO and WIPO data.
  • Cultural industries already represent more than 3% of global GDP (UNESCO), yet remain largely invisible in fiscal models.
  • In Africa alone, the creative sectors could generate over $20 billion annually if IP systems were fully formalized, according to the African Development Bank.
  • McKinsey estimates generative AI will unlock up to US$7.9 trillion in annual economic value — driven largely by the data that trains these models, positioning cultural IP as critical national infrastructure.

The roadmap outlines the framework for governments, multilateral institutions, and investors to establish the systems—registries, standards, and governance protocols—that can unlock culture as an investable public asset. It aligns with the African Union’s Agenda 2063, emphasizing digital sovereignty and the creation of new pathways for African nations to own and monetize their creative and cultural assets.

“We’re mapping an opportunity to build long-term value for African creators and economies,” said Pamla GoPaul, Senior Programme Manager, Africa Policy Bridge Tank, Economic Analysis and Foresight Unit, AUDA-NEPAD. “When we connect cultural production to finance, we strengthen the continent’s global competitiveness and economic resilience.”

The roadmap urges that culture is economic infrastructure and encourages governments to integrate authorship and IP governance into national accounts, investors to recognize cultural IP as an asset class, and multilateral institutions to provide the guarantees that bring these markets to scale.

“Culture is not only memory; it is a macroeconomic engine,” said Dr. Hubert Danso, Chairman and CEO, Africa Investor (Ai) Group. Its revenues flow through creative industries, tourism, digital platforms, and now, artificial intelligence. Yet its rights and governance systems remain fragmented. By aligning policy with innovation and infrastructure with authorship, we propose a concrete path to value, protect, and invest in culture as a productive public good.”

“The world profits from culture, but too often through extraction, not partnership,” said Archie Davis, Co-Founder of AXM, the company developing the infrastructure linking creative IP with financial markets. “Without the proper digital infrastructure, ownership and attribution are not appropriately given to the creators, artists, and cultural workers, and as a result, they are excluded from the very economies they sustain. By linking cultural IP to macroeconomic frameworks, nations can create a pathway for equitable participation in the global digital economy.”

AXM’s digital public infrastructure (DPI) technology, known as the Authorship DPI Standard, provides the infrastructure that modernizes the registration, governance, and licensing of cultural and creative assets, thereby giving cultural works a legal, digital, and economic presence.

Read the report here.

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About AXM
AXM is a patent-pending Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) system that modernizes the registration, governance, and licensing of cultural and creative assets in the era of AI. AXM develops digital public-infrastructure models that enable creators and institutions to record, value, and license their work with transparent and auditable governance.
For creators, estates, and institutions, AXM transforms authorship from an abstract right into programmable infrastructure: measurable, enforceable, and interoperable across human and machine contexts—including AI training and generative outputs.
About African Union Development Agency-NEPAD
The AUDA-NEPAD Africa Policy Bridge Tank is a continental knowledge-to-policy platform that strengthens the interface between African research institutions and decision-makers. It connects African think tanks, academia, and policymakers to co-create evidence-based solutions aligned with Agenda 2063.
Anchored in the African Union’s development vision, the initiative facilitates the co-production of policy-relevant knowledge, strategic foresight, and systems thinking to inform national, regional, and continental development strategies. 
By fostering inclusive, multi-stakeholder dialogues and promoting South-South cooperation, the Africa Policy Bridge Tank contributes to reshaping global governance frameworks and advancing Africa’s agency in multilateral fora.
About Africa Investor (Ai) Group
Africa Investor (Ai) is an institutional investment platform that supports sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, family offices, global investors, and philanthropies to allocate to Africa’s strategic infrastructure, technology, and natural and cultural capital investment opportunities. Through Ai Capital and the Ai Academy, Ai develops fiduciary-grade investment platforms and Institutional Investor–Public Partnership (IIPP) solutions that de-risk and scale institutional allocations.
Ai originates and structures Africa’s thematic advantages into resilient, investable assets that strengthen competitiveness and Make Development Investible.

New G20 Investor Cost-of-Capital Framework Quantifies Trillions in Lost Returns from Fiduciary Inefficiency

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Johannesburg, London, Belém, New York, Tokyo

The Institute of Sovereign Investors, the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC), and Africa Investor (Ai) today launched a new Global Fiduciary Efficiency and Cost of Capital Framework at the G20, revealing substantial investment losses arising from legacy emerging-market risk-measurement systems.

The analysis shows that the 20-year divergence between emerging-market fundamentals and market-implied risk premia — driven by outdated risk-measurement practices rather than changes in fundamentals — has generated USD 4–6 trillion in cumulative lost return opportunities for global pension funds, insurers and sovereign portfolios, equivalent to 30–90 bps of annualised performance drag for universal owners.

It further estimates that emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) face up to USD 15.6 billion in excess annual interest costs and foregone investment opportunities due to structural information asymmetries and limited access to public- and private-sector investor-grade risk data — a gap the GEMs3.0 initiative was expressly developed to help close.

“This is first and foremost a fiduciary excellence agenda. Cost-of-capital improvements are a by-product of correcting how risk is measured — not the motivation. If we want alignment between global investors and emerging markets, we must make development investable, not investment developmental,” said Dr Hubert Danso, CEO of Africa Investor (Ai).

A G20-aligned solution to reduce portfolio leakage

The proposal calls on G20 Leaders to endorse investor-led GEMs3.0 Sandboxes as a global reference platform for modern EM credit-risk transparency.

The sandboxes enable sovereigns, regulators, asset owners and MDBs to test updated risk-measurement tools alongside IMF, World Bank and rating-agency systems — without new mandates or public spending.

Global investor endorsement

“Appropriate allocation and careful consideration on how emerging-market risk is measured and managed is essential for long-horizon investors and for the G20’s financial-stability agenda. Initiatives like the GEMs3.0 Sandboxes can help address better how substantial capital can reach productive, real-economy opportunities.”

 Kristian Flyvholm, Chair & CEO, The Institute of Sovereign Investors

“Efficient capital allocation is a foundation of global economic stability and shared prosperity. Improving the quality, transparency and comparability of risk information — particularly for emerging and developing economies — is essential to unlock long-term investment at scale. The G20’s engagement with initiatives like this framework represents an important step toward a more inclusive, rules-based and investable global economy.”

John W.H. Denton AO, Secretary General, International Chamber of Commerce (ICC); Co-Chair, Finance & Infrastructure, B20

Quantifying the allocation gap for Africa’s industrial opportunity

Despite delivering 16–22% risk-mitigated IRRs, below-average infrastructure default rates, and long-duration offtake demand linked to global transitions, Africa accounts for less than 3% of major benchmark weightings.

This benchmark underweight compounds:

  1. USD 4–6 trillion in cumulative fiduciary underperformance
  2. USD 15.6 billion in annual excess interest costs and foregone EMDE opportunities
  3. S&P’s recalibration, enabled by newly released GEMS risk data, unlocks USD 600–800 billion in MDB lending headroom over the next decade — converting previously lost opportunities in EMDEs into investable capacity.

By modernising risk-signal quality and aligning benchmarks with real-economy fundamentals, the framework enables institutional investors to integrate Africa’s energy, digital, and industrial platforms into long-term portfolios on a fiduciary-compliant basis.

A fiscally neutral G20 reform

The framework calls on G20 Leaders to commit to:

  1. Restoring fiduciary efficiency as a pillar of global financial stability.
  2. Scaling GEMs3.0 Sandboxes as a global reference platform.
  3. Deepening AU–G20 cooperation on Africa’s industrial transition.
  4. Mobilising institutional capital at scale — without reliance on donor funding or new taxes, using fiscally neutral, risk-aligned incentive mechanisms.

Investors described the framework as “the most practical, collaborative and economically significant private-capital mobilisation reform tabled to the COP30 and G20 South Africa Presidencies.”

Read the G20 Investor Cost-of-Capital Framework.

Nature as Infrastructure under IFRS Report Launched for COP30

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Vatican City / London / Belém / Johannesburg — 26 October 2025

The COP30 IFRS Framework for Nature — a Sustainable Markets Initiative (SMI) Lighthouse Report designed to institutionalise Nature on the balance sheet as a recognised, auditable, and investable asset class — was launched following a historic week at the Vatican, where His Majesty King Charles III led the SMI delegation in an audience with His Holiness Pope Leo XIV, aligning faith, finance, and accounting in service of creation.

The Lighthouse Report provides a fiduciary and accounting blueprint for sovereigns, auditors, and institutional investors to classify ecosystems as productive infrastructure assets, applying existing IFRS standards IAS 37 and IAS 38 to recognise Nature as infrastructure on the balance sheet.

“As His Majesty’s Terra Carta reminds us, Nature, people, and planet are at the heart of the global economy. Our COP30 IFRS Framework ensures accounting serves as the arteries of that economy — turning resilience into measurable, investable value. Investors cannot price what accounting fails to define.” said Dr Hubert Danso, Chairman and CEO of Africa Investor and Co-Chair of the SMI Africa Council, speaking from the Vatican

The report forms part of the SMI Nature Lighthouse Report Series — which includes the G20 Nature Investment Roadmap, G20 Roadmap 2.0, and Nature in the Portfolio — charting a fiduciary pathway from policy design to capital deployment, and culminating in this COP30 IFRS Framework for Nature.

Under Brazil’s COP30 Presidency, the framework aligns with global standard setters and finance tracks, including the G20, EU, BRICS, GCC, the African Union’s Nairobi Declaration, the Commonwealth Heads of Government Sustainable Finance Initiatives, the ISSB, TNFD, and the ASEAN Taxonomy for Sustainable Finance.

Download the report: Nature as Infrastructure under IFRS for Global Investability 

Together, the SMI Nature Lighthouse Report Series reflects the Sustainable Markets Initiative’s leadership under the Terra Carta — guiding sovereigns, auditors, and investors from recognition to allocation, and from valuation to assurance, for the enduring benefit of people, planet, Nature and portfolios.

G20 Nature Investment Guide Maps 5–10% Portfolio Allocation Pathway

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New York, 26 September 2025 — A landmark report launched at New York Climate Week and the 80th UN General Assembly sets out a clear allocation pathway for institutional investors to channel 5–10 per cent of portfolios into nature-based assets by 2030, classifying ecosystems as productive infrastructure that deliver resilience, revenue, and systemic risk mitigation at scale.

The G20 Nature in the Portfolio Asset Allocation Guide, developed by the Sustainable Markets Initiative (SMI), Africa Investor (Ai), and Rebalance Earth, provides asset owners, consultants, and sovereign allocators with a practical framework to integrate nature into long-term strategy. It positions ecosystems as compliance-ready, investable infrastructure assets, underscoring that while investors can decarbonise their portfolios, they cannot afford to denature them.

From Risk to Resilience

  • $80tn systemic risk: Unchecked ecosystem degradation could impose losses equivalent to the combined GDP of the world’s largest economies by 2050, undermining sovereign creditworthiness and portfolio resilience.
  • Resilience premium: By treating ecosystems as infrastructure, investors can unlock long-duration, inflation-linked revenues while reducing systemic exposures.
  • “This is about opportunity, not obligation. A credible allocation pathway exists to capture nature’s resilience premium, alongside private markets and infrastructure. Investors can decarbonise portfolios, but they cannot denature them.”

Fiduciary Logic

The Guide anchors nature allocations in recognised international accounting and disclosure standards:

  • IAS 37 — ecosystems framed as liabilities when degraded.
  • IAS 38 — ecosystem services recognised as intangible assets that can be valued and contracted.
  • TNFD — provides a disclosure architecture for nature-related risks and dependencies.

Together, these frameworks validate nature as a compliance-ready asset class that is fiduciary-consistent, standards-aligned, and performance-competitive.

Case Studies and Africa’s GreenAlpha Framework

  • Examples from Mozambique, Kenya, and the UK show how nature-linked contracts generate infrastructure-level cash flows.
  • The Guide also highlights Africa’s GreenAlpha asset class — an institutional investor–led framework that structures Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) into a pipeline of bankable, infrastructure-style portfolios. These blended models are already delivering returns on par with private equity and infrastructure debt.
  • Together, these cases validate nature’s ability to generate both performance and resilience premiums for institutional portfolios.

Sovereign Allocation Pathway

The Guide sets out a phased roadmap for sovereign allocators:

  • 2025 → Align policy with TNFD, AfCFTA, and the AU 5% Asset Allocation Agenda.
  • 2027 → Anchor at least 2% of AUM from domestic pensions and sovereign wealth funds.
  • 2030 → Scale to 5–10% allocations, unlocking fiscal space, GDP growth, and jobs.

By classifying nature as an infrastructure-like asset on national balance sheets, governments can materially improve their sovereign credit profiles. Recognised ecosystem assets increase a state’s net worth and resilience metrics, lowering perceived risk for creditors.

This can:

  • Strengthen sovereign ratings by reducing exposure to climate-driven GDP erosion.
  • Narrow sovereign spreads and lower the cost of capital across the economy.
  • Create fiscal headroom by attracting blended finance and institutional capital at scale.

This approach reframes ecosystems from being off-balance-sheet externalities to on-balance-sheet productive assets, providing sovereigns with a direct lever to cut financing costs while mobilising long-duration investment.

Policy Anchors and Global Alignment

The Guide aligns with the COP30 Belém Roadmap, the AU 5% Asset Allocation Agenda, and the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), providing global legitimacy and regional ownership. Together, these frameworks create the enabling environment for investors to allocate to nature with confidence.

Call to Allocation

“This Guide demonstrates the dual wins of nature allocations. For sovereigns, bringing ecosystems onto the balance sheet strengthens credit profiles, narrows spreads, and lowers the cost of capital. For institutional investors, allocating 5–10 per cent to nature provides infrastructure-level, GreenAlpha-grade competitive returns that enhance portfolio resilience. This is not philanthropy — it is fiduciary duty, competitive advantage, and sovereign strategy.” — Dr Hubert Danso, CEO and Chairman, Africa Investor (Ai); Co-Chair, SMI Africa Council

Download the full report here:

Nature in the Portfolio: G20 Asset Allocation Guide

 

Investors launch GreenAlpha Industrial Infrastructure Asset Class at ACS2

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Addis Ababa, 10 September – Investors launched GreenAlpha, an investor-led initiative to establish Africa’s green industrial infrastructure as a globally competitive investable asset class, at the Second Africa Climate Summit (ACS2) in Addis Ababa.

Over the next decade, GreenAlpha aims to support governments structure Africa’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) into a $1 trillion pipeline of investable portfolio’s, representing about one-third of the continent’s $3 trillion in NDC investment needs.

Set out in the “From Green Growth to GreenAlpha” briefing report, the framework recasts NDCs as portfolios spanning renewable energy, hydrogen, critical minerals, digital infrastructure, green industrial cities and nature-based assets. The initiative is supported by Africa Investor (Ai), the Sustainable Markets Initiative (SMI), the Great Green Wall of Africa Foundation (GGWoA), and the African Green Infrastructure Investment Bank (AfGIIB).

Anchored in the African Union’s (AU) 5% Asset Allocation Agenda, the AfCFTA Investment Protocol, and the AU Institutional Investor–Public Partnership (IIPP) model, The GreenAlpha seeks to cut Africa’s cost of capital by 300–500 basis points while offering domestic and global investors 14–22% returns, supported by Basel- and OECD-compliant risk-sharing instruments.

The launch also included a formal “Call to Allocation”, inviting additional sovereigns, institutional investors, philanthropies, development partners and investment consultants to join the platform.

Dr Hubert Danso, Chairman of Africa Investor, said:

“GreenAlpha is how Africa will make development investable, by aligning its $1tn NDCs-aligned pipeline with $300tn in domestic and global institutional capital, increasing access for African manufactured green technologies to the $10tn global green industrial economy.”

Supporters argue that, once scaled, GreenAlpha could within a decade make Africa a multi-trillion-dollar green industrial investment engine, scaling the continent’s industrialisation while contributing to global decarbonisation, resilience and growth — a step seen as critical to achieving global climate goals.

Read the ‘Green Growth to GreenAlpha’ briefing report.

Ends

Blended finance limits, 4 ways to unlock billions for Africa water

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Blended finance is being wrongly treated as a cure-all for the water investment gap in Africa, despite lacking the capacity to deliver on the continent’s infrastructure needs.

This was the stark reality check provided by Hubert Danso, Chairman and CEO of Africa Investor Group, at the ongoing AU–Africa Water Investment Programme (AU-AIP) Water Summit 2025 in Cape Town.

“I love the enthusiasm around blended finance, but blended finance was designed decades ago… and if the truth be told, blended finance has not really got the depth and the capacity to accomplish any of our goals,” said Danso.

“If you bring all of the blended finance first loss capacity together for Africa as well as all emerging markets, less than 10% of what we actually need is available. So the question should be, ‘how do we fix the 90% gap that blended finance has not’?”

He was speaking during a panel discussion themed Investors Speak: What will it take to finance Africa’s water projects?

Finance focus needs to change

Danso warned that Africa’s development community was “spending 90% of our time trying to solve 10% of the problem.”

He argued that blended finance could even raise the cost of capital by creating a perception of loss before projects were considered.

“As I say to my colleagues, we spend 90% of our time trying to solve 10% of the problem, and less than 10% of our time working with people who can solve 90% of the problem.
“So blended finance, just so that we understand, I know that a lot of colleagues are leaning on blended finance because you don’t really have much else.”
“Blended finance… whilst it’s got some transactions done and we can throw some good names around… [but] if not sold properly, contributes to increasing the cost of capital, because it gives the perception that geographies that need blended finance are going to have a loss even before we’ve talked about the transaction… we’re explaining who’s going to take on board the loss.”

Instead, he urged a shift to “making development investable” and outlined four proposals to unlock more than $10 billion annually from the $300 trillion in global institutional capital.

Four ways to access finance for water sector in Africa

  1. Legally classifying water ecosystems – from watershed protection to natural filtration – as national infrastructure assets eligible for regulated returns.
  2. Replacing public-private partnerships with “institutional investor public-partnerships” to match long-term capital with long-term assets.
  3. Securitising Africa’s $6 trillion in natural capital to unlock $900bn, including $18bn a year until 2050.
  4. Creating scalable, tradable financial products such as water exchange-traded funds, nature-linked bonds and resilience funds linked to ESG capital taxonomies.

Making water development a bankable investment in Africa

“We don’t have to reinvent any wheel. We just have to perhaps let the development finance world understand that if they can’t finance the scope of the need, they should probably never invest in that… the alignment is there, and then we can decide the extent to which our development interests are balanced,” said Danso.

He said that one of the key philosophies “that we need to think about is, instead of trying to make investment developmental, we should be trying to make development investable to the point where it can unlock the social as well as economic dividends on an aligned basis.”

Danso said his organisation tends to invest in financial instruments, funds and more strategic platforms.

“So we believe that water is very aligned with that. It’s happening around the world… private capital are already going into well defined and regulated structures, and private capital is already doing it.”
Source: ESI Africa

Africa investor backs G20 drive to fix Africa’s cost of capital

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Johannesburg, 6 August 2025 – Africa Investor (Ai) today announced its support for South Africa’s G20 Presidency in tackling one of the most pressing structural barriers to the continent’s economic transformation: Africa’s disproportionately high cost of capital.
Despite the continent’s vast industrial and green growth potential, African economies continue to pay unjustifiably high capital premiums. This systemic mispricing has blocked trillions of dollars in long-term institutional investment from flowing into Africa’s green industrial infrastructure — now recognised as a globally competitive and scalable investable asset class.
“Fixing Africa’s cost of capital is not just an African issue — it is a global investment imperative. Repricing risk, scaling private investment, and driving industrial growth are essential to mobilise the long-duration capital required to deliver Africa’s transformation and the world’s climate goals.” said Dr Hubert Danso, Chairman of Africa Investor
Ai confirmed it is working alongside partners including ONE, Africa Practice, Standard Bank, and leading global institutional investor coalitions, to call for urgent action at the G20, African Union, and COP30 platforms. The coalition is pressing for:
  • Repricing of sovereign and infrastructure risk to correct systemic distortions;
  • Unlocking long-term private capital at an institutional scale;
  • Accelerating Africa’s green industrial value chains in line with national priorities and global climate commitments.
For institutional investors, consultants, policymakers, and development partners, the message is clear: it is time to make development investable. That requires disciplined, risk-adjusted capital flows into productive real-economy assets that generate jobs, growth, and resilience.
Ai underscored the role of Institutional Investor–Public Partnerships (IIPPs) and the GEMs3.0 platform as critical innovations to reprice Africa’s risk and unlock its full investment potential at scale.
“Governments are overpaying and universal owners are underachieving,” Dr Danso concluded. “The G20 process provides the platform to fix both.”

Innovative frameworks proposed to scale investments in emerging markets and developing economies

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At a recent institutional investor meeting during the Financing for Development Summit (FfD4) in Seville, Spain, Dr. Hubert Danso, chairman and CEO of Africa Investor (Ai), urged investors to move beyond legacy mandates toward future-fit fiduciary models through collaborative efforts and institutional investor partnerships.

Danso spotlighted three investment paradigms being piloted across Africa and the Global South that are reshaping investor incentives and accelerating sustainable capital flows into emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). According to Danso, these are green industrial cities; natural capital investing; and GEMs3.0, an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled investment ecosystem.

“These multi-stakeholder sandboxes are the system,” said Danso. “Green industrial cities, natural capital investing and GEMs3.0 are not isolated pilots — they are interoperable platforms redefining how we govern, invest and scale long-term regenerative returns through institutional investor public partnerships.”

Aligned with national and regional green industrialization strategies, green industrial cities and economic ones are anchored in ESG-aligned value chains, green infrastructure and bankable offtakes for value-added products. According to Danso, the cities themselves are structured as investable real assets akin to green industrial REITs, positioning Africa’s green industrial infrastructure as a globally competitive investable asset class, and scaling its share of the $10 trillion global green industrial economy.

In addition, referencing the G20 Natural Capital Investment Roadmap that was launched at London Climate Action Week, Danso urged investors to treat nature as a strategic public asset class. He believes that by integrating a number of resources and tools, institutional investors can make nature-linked investment solutions more mainstream.

Danso also referenced the GEMs3.0 Institutional Investor User Survey Report, which was based on responses from select Sustainable Markets Initiative (SMI) members managing more than $6 trillion in assets. The survey was developed to inform the foundation of the GEMs3.0 platform initiative to align institutional capital with just regenerative transitions. GEMs3.0 is a first-of-its-kind AI-enabled investment ecosystem designed to correct benchmark and ratings distortions, deliver real-time, transition-relevant insights, and empower asset owners to allocate capital in mandate-aligned, systemically regenerative ways. GEMs3.0 aims to accelerate just transitions across EMDEs, delivering benefits for people, planet, nature, and portfolios.

“Let’s be the market,” urged Danso. “As universal owners stewarding over $300 trillion in assets, we are not passengers in this transition — we are its architects. Let us use the Earth for All report and the FfD4 process to co-create and execute scalable, inclusive investment blueprints for the regenerative global economy we need.”

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